By David Western, Victor N. Mose And ACP Team

Introduction
​
The short rains, perhaps heralding a wet El Niño, started in the Amboseli area in early November. By the time David Western and David Maitumo did an aerial count on 15th November the grass had greened up everywhere except Osilalei directly to the north.
Lake Amboseli had begun to flood, and much of the Amboseli Basin was fully saturated with rainwater. The wildebeest and zebra herds had moved out on migration and elephant numbers dropped from 430 in October to 250. On the other hand, cattle numbers remained high, with 2,000 in the park despite the good rains. Several herds had moved into prime wildlife viewing areas in the center of the park.
​
Conditions in the Amboseli ecosystem
The poor short rains of April and May did break the drought cycle which began in early 2022 sufficient to see a recovery of livestock and wildlife. Persistent heavy grazing soon pushed pasture condition back into the red zone (Figure 1). The current good rains starting in November and projected to continue into 2024 will provide sufficient pasture for wildlife and livestock herds to begin to recover from the drought.

Figure 1: ACP’s long-term pasture barometer which dropped back into the red zone after the poor rains of April and May will quickly bounce back into the green zone with the present heavy November rains projected to continue through the end of the year.

Download the complete Amboseli ecosystem outlook and status report for November 2023, below.

 

By David (Jonah) Western

October 6, 2026

Last week saw the worst fires in years envelop Kilimanjaro.

By David (Jonah) Western

September 25, 2026

The extensive flooding in March of 2026 caused the closure of the Amboseli airstrip.

By Victor N. Mose

September 23, 2026

Herders from Amboseli, who are members of a community visited JKUAT.

Status of the Amboseli ecosystem and southern Kenya as the rains arrive

Authored by : David Western, Victor N. Mose And ACP Team
Posted on November 21, 2023

Introduction
​
The short rains, perhaps heralding a wet El Niño, started in the Amboseli area in early November. By the time David Western and David Maitumo did an aerial count on 15th November the grass had greened up everywhere except Osilalei directly to the north.
Lake Amboseli had begun to flood, and much of the Amboseli Basin was fully saturated with rainwater. The wildebeest and zebra herds had moved out on migration and elephant numbers dropped from 430 in October to 250. On the other hand, cattle numbers remained high, with 2,000 in the park despite the good rains. Several herds had moved into prime wildlife viewing areas in the center of the park.
​
Conditions in the Amboseli ecosystem
The poor short rains of April and May did break the drought cycle which began in early 2022 sufficient to see a recovery of livestock and wildlife. Persistent heavy grazing soon pushed pasture condition back into the red zone (Figure 1). The current good rains starting in November and projected to continue into 2024 will provide sufficient pasture for wildlife and livestock herds to begin to recover from the drought.

Figure 1: ACP’s long-term pasture barometer which dropped back into the red zone after the poor rains of April and May will quickly bounce back into the green zone with the present heavy November rains projected to continue through the end of the year.

Download the complete Amboseli ecosystem outlook and status report for November 2023, below.

 

By David Western, Victor N. Mose And ACP Team

Introduction
​
The short rains, perhaps heralding a wet El Niño, started in the Amboseli area in early November. By the time David Western and David Maitumo did an aerial count on 15th November the grass had greened up everywhere except Osilalei directly to the north.
Lake Amboseli had begun to flood, and much of the Amboseli Basin was fully saturated with rainwater. The wildebeest and zebra herds had moved out on migration and elephant numbers dropped from 430 in October to 250. On the other hand, cattle numbers remained high, with 2,000 in the park despite the good rains. Several herds had moved into prime wildlife viewing areas in the center of the park.
​
Conditions in the Amboseli ecosystem
The poor short rains of April and May did break the drought cycle which began in early 2022 sufficient to see a recovery of livestock and wildlife. Persistent heavy grazing soon pushed pasture condition back into the red zone (Figure 1). The current good rains starting in November and projected to continue into 2024 will provide sufficient pasture for wildlife and livestock herds to begin to recover from the drought.

Figure 1: ACP’s long-term pasture barometer which dropped back into the red zone after the poor rains of April and May will quickly bounce back into the green zone with the present heavy November rains projected to continue through the end of the year.

Download the complete Amboseli ecosystem outlook and status report for November 2023, below.

 

By David (Jonah) Western

October 6, 2026

Last week saw the worst fires in years envelop Kilimanjaro.

By David (Jonah) Western

September 25, 2026

The extensive flooding in March of 2026 caused the closure of the Amboseli airstrip.

By Victor N. Mose

September 23, 2026

Herders from Amboseli, who are members of a community visited JKUAT.

Posted on November 21, 2023

By David Western, Victor N. Mose And ACP Team

Introduction
​
The short rains, perhaps heralding a wet El Niño, started in the Amboseli area in early November. By the time David Western and David Maitumo did an aerial count on 15th November the grass had greened up everywhere except Osilalei directly to the north.
Lake Amboseli had begun to flood, and much of the Amboseli Basin was fully saturated with rainwater. The wildebeest and zebra herds had moved out on migration and elephant numbers dropped from 430 in October to 250. On the other hand, cattle numbers remained high, with 2,000 in the park despite the good rains. Several herds had moved into prime wildlife viewing areas in the center of the park.
​
Conditions in the Amboseli ecosystem
The poor short rains of April and May did break the drought cycle which began in early 2022 sufficient to see a recovery of livestock and wildlife. Persistent heavy grazing soon pushed pasture condition back into the red zone (Figure 1). The current good rains starting in November and projected to continue into 2024 will provide sufficient pasture for wildlife and livestock herds to begin to recover from the drought.

Figure 1: ACP’s long-term pasture barometer which dropped back into the red zone after the poor rains of April and May will quickly bounce back into the green zone with the present heavy November rains projected to continue through the end of the year.

Download the complete Amboseli ecosystem outlook and status report for November 2023, below.

 

Recent Posts

By David (Jonah) Western

October 16, 2026

Six decades on from studying the ecology of Amboseli, I wrote in We Alone. How Humans Have Conquered the Planet.

By David (Jonah) Western

October 6, 2026

Last week saw the worst fires in years envelop Kilimanjaro.

By David (Jonah) Western

September 25, 2026

The extensive flooding in March of 2026 caused the closure of the Amboseli airstrip.

By Victor N. Mose

September 23, 2026

Herders from Amboseli, who are members of a community visited JKUAT.

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August 10, 2026

Amboseli Conservation Program (ACP) statisticians this week took Bayesian inference back 1 million years.

By Dr. David Jonah Western

August 5, 2026

Sixteen elephants have died in Amboseli in just a few weeks, alarming conservationists and the Maasai community

By David Western, Victor N. Mose*, David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

July 31, 2026

The latest Amboseli Ecosystem Outlook Report combines perspectives from local herders and livestock traders

By Victor N. Mose

July 22, 2026

Fireworks displaying EU–Kenya relations rocked the skyline in Loresho at Shamba Café, lighting up the evening sky

By Victor N. Mose

May 22, 2026

Herders in Amboseli gathered under the shade of an acacia tree for a parliamentary style debate on co-production.

Contact Us

Amboseli Conservation Program
P.O Box 15289-00509 or 62844-00200
Nairobi, Kenya.

Tel/Fax: +254 20 891360 / 891751
Email: acc@acc.or.ke