By David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

Preamble
​The heavy prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, with the exception of slightly weaker rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the loss of body condition livestock and wildlife suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their herds, and inflation.

NDVI satellite image for October 2024, showing remaining green patches in Olgulului and Eselenkei and dry conditions across Mbirikani and Kuku-Rombo.

The Outlook
The heavy and prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, except for poorer rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the depleted body conditions of livestock and wildlife
suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their
herds, and inflation.

The post-drought recovery captured in all our key rangelands indicators, coupled with the surplus pastures left by the prolonged rains, spells good outlook for Amboseli through the end of the year. Less clear is the outlook for the short rains at the end of 2024. Originally projected by the Met Department to be poor due to the El Niño cool phase typically following in the La Niña cooling phase, the forecasts are now less clear. Warming
seas and atmospheric temperatures are changing climatic patterns globally, creating greater weather extremes which complicate weather forecasts.

The unpredictable weather patterns make it all the more important to assess the outlook for Amboseli based on actual conditions.

 

Download the full outlook report below.
Amboseli_outlook_report_26th_nov_2024

By Victor N. Mose

ACP, ACC, and NAU launched a NASA-funded One Health survey using GEDI and local monitoring for ecosystem health.

By David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

The heavy prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem

By David Western, Immaculate Ombongi and Victor N. Mose

Our study traces the transition from traditional livestock practices based on seasonal migrations to permanent

Amboseli Ecosystem Outlook-Current situation report

Authored by : David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti
Posted on November 30, 2024

Preamble
​The heavy prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, with the exception of slightly weaker rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the loss of body condition livestock and wildlife suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their herds, and inflation.

NDVI satellite image for October 2024, showing remaining green patches in Olgulului and Eselenkei and dry conditions across Mbirikani and Kuku-Rombo.

The Outlook
The heavy and prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, except for poorer rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the depleted body conditions of livestock and wildlife
suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their
herds, and inflation.

The post-drought recovery captured in all our key rangelands indicators, coupled with the surplus pastures left by the prolonged rains, spells good outlook for Amboseli through the end of the year. Less clear is the outlook for the short rains at the end of 2024. Originally projected by the Met Department to be poor due to the El Niño cool phase typically following in the La Niña cooling phase, the forecasts are now less clear. Warming
seas and atmospheric temperatures are changing climatic patterns globally, creating greater weather extremes which complicate weather forecasts.

The unpredictable weather patterns make it all the more important to assess the outlook for Amboseli based on actual conditions.

 

Download the full outlook report below.
Amboseli_outlook_report_26th_nov_2024

By David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

Preamble
​The heavy prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, with the exception of slightly weaker rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the loss of body condition livestock and wildlife suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their herds, and inflation.

NDVI satellite image for October 2024, showing remaining green patches in Olgulului and Eselenkei and dry conditions across Mbirikani and Kuku-Rombo.

The Outlook
The heavy and prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, except for poorer rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the depleted body conditions of livestock and wildlife
suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their
herds, and inflation.

The post-drought recovery captured in all our key rangelands indicators, coupled with the surplus pastures left by the prolonged rains, spells good outlook for Amboseli through the end of the year. Less clear is the outlook for the short rains at the end of 2024. Originally projected by the Met Department to be poor due to the El Niño cool phase typically following in the La Niña cooling phase, the forecasts are now less clear. Warming
seas and atmospheric temperatures are changing climatic patterns globally, creating greater weather extremes which complicate weather forecasts.

The unpredictable weather patterns make it all the more important to assess the outlook for Amboseli based on actual conditions.

 

Download the full outlook report below.
Amboseli_outlook_report_26th_nov_2024

By Victor N. Mose

ACP, ACC, and NAU launched a NASA-funded One Health survey using GEDI and local monitoring for ecosystem health.

By David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

The heavy prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem

By David Western, Immaculate Ombongi and Victor N. Mose

Our study traces the transition from traditional livestock practices based on seasonal migrations to permanent

Posted on November 30, 2024

By David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

Preamble
​The heavy prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, with the exception of slightly weaker rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the loss of body condition livestock and wildlife suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their herds, and inflation.

NDVI satellite image for October 2024, showing remaining green patches in Olgulului and Eselenkei and dry conditions across Mbirikani and Kuku-Rombo.

The Outlook
The heavy and prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem to peak growth in May, except for poorer rains on Mbirikani. The rich pastures fully restored the depleted body conditions of livestock and wildlife
suffered in the 2022-2023 drought. Milk yields also recovered from the year-long delay caused by the drought. Market prices for livestock hit an all-time high due to cattle shortages, rising national beef demand, pastoralists rebuilding their
herds, and inflation.

The post-drought recovery captured in all our key rangelands indicators, coupled with the surplus pastures left by the prolonged rains, spells good outlook for Amboseli through the end of the year. Less clear is the outlook for the short rains at the end of 2024. Originally projected by the Met Department to be poor due to the El Niño cool phase typically following in the La Niña cooling phase, the forecasts are now less clear. Warming
seas and atmospheric temperatures are changing climatic patterns globally, creating greater weather extremes which complicate weather forecasts.

The unpredictable weather patterns make it all the more important to assess the outlook for Amboseli based on actual conditions.

 

Download the full outlook report below.
Amboseli_outlook_report_26th_nov_2024

Recent Posts

By David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

The outlook for livestock and wildlife in the short dry season normally stretching from January to the long rains

By Victor N. Mose

ACP, ACC, and NAU launched a NASA-funded One Health survey using GEDI and local monitoring for ecosystem health.

By David Western, Victor N. Mose, David Maitumo, Immaculate Ombongi, Sakimba Kimiti, Winfridah Kemunto, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

The heavy prolonged El Niño rains boosted pastures across the Amboseli ecosystem

By David Western, Immaculate Ombongi and Victor N. Mose

Our study traces the transition from traditional livestock practices based on seasonal migrations to permanent

By Victor N. Mose, PhD, ACC/ACP, Nairobi, Kenya.

The MOSAIC field mission to the Amazon region, following a previous mission to East Africa

By Victor N. Mose, PhD, ACC/ACP, Nairobi, Kenya.

In a recent community meeting held at the Amboseli Ecosystem Trust offices in southern Kenya.

By Victor N. Mose and David Western

The Amboseli Conservation Program (ACP) has conducted regular aerial sample counts of Amboseli and eastern Kajiado

By Victor N. Mose, David Western and the ACP Team

The Amboseli Conservation Program (ACP) continued to monitor the conditions of the rangelands, livestock and wild

By Victor N. Mose

A notable discussion at the forum focused on disparities in data availability between the Global North and South.

By Victor N. Mose, David Western and the ACP Team

The effects of the good short rains have been felt in the Amboseli area.

Contact Us

Amboseli Conservation Program
P.O Box 15289-00509 or 62844-00200
Nairobi, Kenya.

Tel/Fax: +254 20 891360 / 891751
Email: acc@acc.or.ke