By David Western

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

By David Western, Victor N. Mose* , David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

May 20, 2026

As a result of the unseasonal rains in January to April, conditions in Amboseli have changed from a severe drought

By Victor N. Mose

May 12, 2026

Staff at the Embassy of Kenya in Vienna were treated to an “elephant show” following Angela Mumbi’s presentation

By Victor N. Mose

April 4, 2026

The MOSAIC meeting in Montpellier focused on practical solutions for shared environmental and health challenges

Victor Mose awarded a Ph.D. from Université Pierre et...

Authored by : David Western
Posted on June 11, 2013

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

By David Western

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

By David Western, Victor N. Mose* , David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

May 20, 2026

As a result of the unseasonal rains in January to April, conditions in Amboseli have changed from a severe drought

By Victor N. Mose

May 12, 2026

Staff at the Embassy of Kenya in Vienna were treated to an “elephant show” following Angela Mumbi’s presentation

By Victor N. Mose

April 4, 2026

The MOSAIC meeting in Montpellier focused on practical solutions for shared environmental and health challenges

Posted on June 11, 2013

By David Western

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

Recent Posts

By Victor N. Mose

May 22, 2026

Herders in Amboseli gathered under the shade of an acacia tree for a parliamentary style debate on co-production.

By David Western, Victor N. Mose* , David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

May 20, 2026

As a result of the unseasonal rains in January to April, conditions in Amboseli have changed from a severe drought

By Victor N. Mose

May 12, 2026

Staff at the Embassy of Kenya in Vienna were treated to an “elephant show” following Angela Mumbi’s presentation

By Victor N. Mose

April 4, 2026

The MOSAIC meeting in Montpellier focused on practical solutions for shared environmental and health challenges

By Victor N. Mose

March 18, 2026

Project MOSAIC has launched community-driven One Health Clubs in Amboseli to strengthen local action on resources.

By David Western

February 25, 2026

The greatest wildlife spectacles on earth are the migrations of large mammals and birds.

By David Western

December 5, 2025

Short rains failed in Oct to Nov 2025 and heavy post-drought stocking pushed pastures from green to red.

By David Western

November 27, 2025

The handing back of Amboseli National Park to Kajiado County management on 8th November 2025

By ACP Team

July 26, 2025

Our Amboseli Conservation Program Outlook Report gives the state of pastures, livestock, and wildlife health.

By Victor Mose

June 9, 2025

Horizontal learning, where local communities and scientists co-design research, remains a central pillar of Mosaic

Contact Us

Amboseli Conservation Program
P.O Box 15289-00509 or 62844-00200
Nairobi, Kenya.

Tel/Fax: +254 20 891360 / 891751
Email: acc@acc.or.ke