By David Western

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

By David Western, Victor N. Mose*, David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

July 31, 2026

The latest Amboseli Ecosystem Outlook Report combines perspectives from local herders and livestock traders

By Victor N. Mose

July 22, 2026

Fireworks displaying EU–Kenya relations rocked the skyline in Loresho at Shamba Café, lighting up the evening sky

By Victor N. Mose

May 22, 2026

Herders in Amboseli gathered under the shade of an acacia tree for a parliamentary style debate on co-production.

Victor Mose awarded a Ph.D. from Université Pierre et...

Authored by : David Western
Posted on June 11, 2013

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

By David Western

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

By David Western, Victor N. Mose*, David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

July 31, 2026

The latest Amboseli Ecosystem Outlook Report combines perspectives from local herders and livestock traders

By Victor N. Mose

July 22, 2026

Fireworks displaying EU–Kenya relations rocked the skyline in Loresho at Shamba Café, lighting up the evening sky

By Victor N. Mose

May 22, 2026

Herders in Amboseli gathered under the shade of an acacia tree for a parliamentary style debate on co-production.

Posted on June 11, 2013

By David Western

Victor Mose, ACP’s Head of Computation and Bio-statistical Services, successfully defended his Ph.D.  titled

“Mathematical Modelling of the Dynamics of Migrations for Large Mammal Populations in the Amboseli National Park, Kenya”.

His work proposed a spatially explicit mathematical model of ungulate migrations based on the seasonal distribution of vegetation quantity, quality and allometric models of diet. He studied the impact of blocked corridors on herbivore populations using a spatial mathematical model that describes the movements and population dynamics of selected species.

Aggregation methods were used to reduce the complexity of the model which uses actual parameters calibrated from long term data collected in Amboseli for over three decades. The results show that a possible mechanism of maintenance of biodiversity in the area could be due to an exchange of animals between the park and surrounding ecosystems, when the oscillations of species densities in the ecosystems are out of phase compared to each other and to those within the park.

The migrants also broadly track the shifting patterns of vegetation growth and senescence according to body size.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1476945X12000220

Recent Posts

By Dr. David Jonah Western

August 5, 2026

Sixteen elephants have died in Amboseli in just a few weeks, alarming conservationists and the Maasai community

By David Western, Victor N. Mose*, David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

July 31, 2026

The latest Amboseli Ecosystem Outlook Report combines perspectives from local herders and livestock traders

By Victor N. Mose

July 22, 2026

Fireworks displaying EU–Kenya relations rocked the skyline in Loresho at Shamba Café, lighting up the evening sky

By Victor N. Mose

May 22, 2026

Herders in Amboseli gathered under the shade of an acacia tree for a parliamentary style debate on co-production.

By David Western, Victor N. Mose* , David Maitumo, Winfridah Kemunto, Sakimba Kimiti, Immaculate Ombongi, Samuel Lekanaiya, Paul Kasaine and Sunte Kimiti

May 20, 2026

As a result of the unseasonal rains in January to April, conditions in Amboseli have changed from a severe drought

By Victor N. Mose

May 12, 2026

Staff at the Embassy of Kenya in Vienna were treated to an “elephant show” following Angela Mumbi’s presentation

By Victor N. Mose

April 4, 2026

The MOSAIC meeting in Montpellier focused on practical solutions for shared environmental and health challenges

By Victor N. Mose

March 18, 2026

Project MOSAIC has launched community-driven One Health Clubs in Amboseli to strengthen local action on resources.

By David Western

February 25, 2026

The greatest wildlife spectacles on earth are the migrations of large mammals and birds.

By David Western

December 5, 2025

Short rains failed in Oct to Nov 2025 and heavy post-drought stocking pushed pastures from green to red.

Contact Us

Amboseli Conservation Program
P.O Box 15289-00509 or 62844-00200
Nairobi, Kenya.

Tel/Fax: +254 20 891360 / 891751
Email: acc@acc.or.ke